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Aug 07, 2009


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I wonder what role economic migration plays in the reveral of fertility decline post a certain level of development?

Anecdotally (and therefore more dismissable) here in the UK it seems that those with larger families tend not to be long-established residents, but the urban recently imimigrated popultion. However, I've no access to comprehensive stats, it'd be interesting to see what the localised breakdown suggests.

Michael W. Kruse

Phil, I suspect you are right. I think some growth is coming from immigrants that come from high birthrate nations and haven't finished traveling down the fertility rate curve. I think it is also possible that as the demographic transition bottoms that locals actually do begin to rethink their family size. So it probably is both. Like you, I've got no data to support it.

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